The China Healthwise Holdings Limited (HKG:348) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 215% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about China Healthwise Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Leisure industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
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Check out our latest analysis for China Healthwise Holdings
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at China Healthwise Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Healthwise Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like China Healthwise Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 22%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 33% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 8.7% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that China Healthwise Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
China Healthwise Holdings' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our look at China Healthwise Holdings revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
You need to take note of risks, for example - China Healthwise Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 3 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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