【宏观预期修复推升EC情绪，4月下旬现货运价小幅走弱】金十期货4月11日讯，周四EC盘面强势反弹，近月部分合约触及涨停，全天偏强震荡。宏观事件依然是主要催化原因。宏观事件变化对于EC盘面情绪有明显提振作用，市场预期90天豁免期或提振短暂区域内转口贸易，潜在抵消当前中美之间贸易停滞带来的减量；除了继续影响整体情绪的宏观变化外，后续盘面需关注船司5月实际基本面供需结构，独立看待近远月合约，前者锚定基本面，后者计价经济衰退和贸易萎缩。策略上可考虑6-10正套表达近远月不同交易逻辑，远端合约以空配为主，10合约在贸易衰退预期放大的背景下可短期参考成本线进行定价。
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