金吾财讯 | 交银国际研报指,李宁(02331)2024年业绩符合一致性预期。2024年,李宁实现收入286.8亿元,同比增长3.9%。毛利率提升1个百分点至49.4%(符合此前管理层预期),主要得益于电商渠道折扣改善(贡献0.8个百分点的提升)。净利润率10.5%。管理层提升派息率至50%(2023年:45%)。公司将重点强化跑步品类,同时将新兴品类(如户外、网球、匹克球)作为重点培育方向。公司预期收入持平,毛利率持平或小幅提升,净利润率预期维持在高单位数。该行指,公司在产品创新和渠道优化方面取得积极进展,但客流量暂未出现明显回升,并且短期内缺乏显著催化剂。同时,管理层给予较为保守的财务指引也反映对未来不确定性的谨慎态度。目标价16.25港元基于13倍(过去1年平均市盈率)的2025年市盈率。维持中性评级。
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