Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.06 per share on the 27th of June. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 3.4%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
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Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Arcos Dorados Holdings is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 55.1% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 22% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Check out our latest analysis for Arcos Dorados Holdings
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from $0.238 total annually to $0.24. Its dividends have grown at less than 1% per annum over this time frame. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. We are encouraged to see that Arcos Dorados Holdings has grown earnings per share at 13% per year over the past five years. Arcos Dorados Holdings definitely has the potential to grow its dividend in the future with earnings on an uptrend and a low payout ratio.
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While Arcos Dorados Holdings is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We don't think Arcos Dorados Holdings is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Arcos Dorados Holdings that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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