智通财经APP获悉,中国飞鹤(06186)涨超5%,截至发稿,涨5.52%,报6.12港元,成交额1.95亿港元。
消息面上,大和发布研报称,尽管美国关税最终的局势发展仍高度不确定,但认为这并不改变该行对中国内需消费股具吸引力的观点,反而强化中国将进一步提振内需的看法。方正证券指出,关税影响下,促内需有望加速各地生育政策落地。2025年政府工作报告已提出“发放育儿补贴”,呼和浩特市已于2025年3月率先实施育儿补贴政策,并为产妇每人每天提供“一杯奶”。该行认为,由于美国对华加征关税影响我国出口,促内需政策较为迫切,育儿补贴相关政策或有望加速落地于各地实施,乳制品需求有望得到显著提振。建议关注受益于育儿补贴政策的奶粉龙头中国飞鹤。
此外,建银国际近期研报指出,将中国飞鹤目标价从4.5港元上调44%至6.5港元,维持“跑赢大市”评级。该行认为,集团将继续保持至少10%的每股股息增长,相当于2025财年的股息率为5.7%,足以支撑其估值。集团2024财年净利润同比增5%至35.7亿元人民币,受婴儿配方奶粉(IMF)增长7%的推动,2024财年收入增长6%。
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