智通财经APP获悉,富国银行将媒体和有线电视巨头康卡斯特(CMCSA.US)的评级从“持有”下调至“减持”,目标价下调6美元至31美元。富国银行认为,康卡斯特不再具有防御性,因为该公司正被拉进一个融合投资周期,移动成本将增加以重新加速宽带业务。
富国银行认为,康卡斯特的链接和平台(Connectivity & Platforms)业务仍将面临压力,预计2025/ 2026年度EBITDA分别同比增长-1.7%/-0.2%,用户净增长分别为-50万/-42万。
富国银行表示:“尽管预计今年光纤网络净新增用户将持平,但我们认为,由于近5年来过度建设的累积效应和加快渗透速度的举措,光纤业务面临的阻力仍在加大。”
富国银行表示:“链接和平台业务是康卡斯特营收的最重要来源,该业务面临着来自过度建设的光纤市场的激烈竞争。作为回应,我们预计康卡斯特将投资于移动+波段融合封装,这将降低增长率,并需要时间/风险才能在用户趋势中获得回报。”
富国银行还认为,由于广告市场疲软,康卡斯特旗下的NBC环球将受到影响,预计NBA的体育成本将上升,而Peacock流媒体业务将无法实现收支平衡。
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