周黑鸭(01458)早盘再涨超6%,近两周交易日累计涨幅超25%。截至发稿,股价上涨6.52%,现报2.45港元,成交额1533.13万港元。
中金公司发布研报称,基本维持周黑鸭(01458)2025年利润预测并引入2026年净利润约2.04亿元。考虑到估值切换至2025年EPS及近期板块估值提振,上调目标价47.1%到2.5港币,目标价对应25/26年约27.3/24.5倍P/E,维持跑赢行业评级。
中金指出,2025年公司重视优化门店结构、提升门店质量,开始发力流通业务新渠道。其中,在新渠道端,公司2024年在新渠道团队建设、产品、供应链方面已做了基础筹备工作。该行预计2025年公司有望在商超、便利店、新零售和零食专营渠道等逐渐放量。据山姆官方小程序近期数据,调味酱菜热度榜中周黑鸭经典卤料包在榜单Top6(备注:基于商品月销数据通过计算排列),且月销达1万+件(零售价65.9元/1.62kg)。在海外业务探索方面,2025年公司出海业务第一站为东南亚市场,该行预计公司有望借助经销商渠道将长保产品销往海外。
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