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　　2025年4月16日，早盘开盘，国内期货主力合约互有涨跌。沪金涨近2%，焦炭涨超1%，沪镍涨近1%。跌幅方面，集运欧线跌超2.5%，BR橡胶、20号胶、液化石油气（LPG）、菜粕、短纤、PTA、豆粕、豆二、锰硅跌超1%。

　　光大期货：

　　数据方面，美国3月进口物价指数月率录得-0.1%，结束2024年10月以来增长趋势。

　　降息方面，最新CME“美联储观察”数据显示，5月维持利率不变的概率为81.4%，降息25个基点的概率为18.6%，到6月维持利率不变的概率为27.6%，累计降息25个基点的概率为60.1%，累计降息50个基点的概率为12.3%。

　　综合而言，关税政策依旧为黄金提供助力，关注后期政策的潜在变动。

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