QCP:加密市场长期情绪正变得更积极,比特币近期可能继续横盘

Odaily
Apr 14, 2025

Odaily星球日报讯 QCP 发文表示,在一周的关税边缘政策后,风险资产开始稳定,摆脱了原本可能对中美贸易造成重创的壁垒。美国对中国进口商品征收高达 145%的关税,中国则以 125%的关税回击,双方升级到市场对进一步加码已不再意外的程度。这些关税的巨大规模使其更具象征意义,而非市场驱动因素,这与“解放日”初期引发的恐慌形成鲜明对比。 周五收盘后,特朗普政府悄然豁免了智能手机、电脑和芯片的最新关税。尽管僵局持续,风险资产却在定价乐观情绪,即便美国似乎不仅在与中国谈判,还在与债券市场及自身博弈。 加密市场,比特币风险逆转直到 6 月仍偏向看跌期权,表明市场短期内仍略显谨慎。不过,长期情绪正变得更积极。周六,我们观察到 800 手 BTC-27MAR26-100k-C 的激进买盘。比特币继续在 8 万至 9 万美元区间内盘整,可能继续横盘,采取观望关税局势的“等待”策略。

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