锰硅:从6000涨到10000 锰硅今年能重演历史吗?

金十财经
14 Apr

【锰硅:从6000涨到10000 锰硅今年能重演历史吗?】金十期货4月14日讯,现货端,截止4月11日,锰硅市场价为5650-5900元/吨;天津6517锰硅现货市场报价5750元/吨,环比上日持稳,折盘面5940/吨。基本面来看,供应逐渐减量,上周锰硅主产区生产企业减停产情况增加,钢联数据显示锰硅日产已经连续四周环比下降,后续大厂仍有减产计划,但终端需求改善仍待时间。锰矿端来看,South32发布5月南非半碳酸块报盘4.05美元/吨度,港口锰矿价格仍在震荡走弱,截止4月10日加蓬锰矿Mn44.5%汇总价格40.5元/吨,南非半碳酸Mn36.5%汇总价格34.5元/吨,成本端支撑亦有限。中辉期货分析师吴明近认为,锰硅上周大跌与自身基本面关系不大,主要是伴随宏观情绪短期走弱。锰硅供应减量、利润持续恶化的情况下,一旦国内外宏观预期有所改善,锰硅有望迎来技术型反弹机会。策略上,打开锰硅主连周k图会发现,从2024年4月开始,锰硅资金热度持续,盘面大起大落,下方在5900--6000附近获得支撑、企稳后基本都有不同程度的反弹行情。从主力09来看,中长线倾向于在6000大关附近低位埋伏或更具性价比,有效上破6150--6160关键压制或进一步打开主升空间、有望重演去年的超级行情。

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