金吾财讯 | 开源证券研报指,2025Q1安踏体育(02020)流水中双增长,安踏/FILA/其他品牌(含MaiaActive)流水+高单/+高单/+65-70%,FILA及其他品牌表现好于预期,总体线上增长近20%,线上表现好于线下。该行指,公司经营指标良好:库销比<5,环比Q4底改善,线下折扣持平、线上折扣略有加深。预计常规门店调改、新业态蓬勃发展有望带动店效增长,新业态中,超级安踏以性价比及丰富产品线为优势,店效显著高于普通大货门店;安踏冠军通过赞助和产品结合,吸引中高端消费者,预计平均月店效超过50万元。该行维持盈利预测,预计2025-2027年归母净利润134.6/149.9/165.7亿元,当前股价对应PE为16.6/14.9/13.5倍。公司各品牌定位清晰,主品牌成功打造爆品并于新业态取得突破;Fila潮牌及儿童调整迅速,预计组织变革后持续高质量增长;高端垂类品牌预计维持高速增长;收购狼爪补全户外矩阵并加速全球化渠道发展,深化单聚焦、多品牌、全球化战略,维持“买入”评级。
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