机构:欧元区通胀前景趋弱支持欧洲央行降息

Blockbeats
Apr 14

BlockBeats 消息,4 月 14 日,机构一项调查显示,由于美国提高关税,欧元区的通胀将低于此前的预测。该调查支持欧洲央行本周降息的理由。分析师预计,2026 年和 2027 年的消费者价格平均增幅分别为 1.9% 和 2%,这两项预测都向下修正了 0.1 个百分点。他们还预计,今年的经济增速将为 0.8%,略低于此前的预期,之后经济增长势头将有所回升。

在另一项调查中,经济学家预测欧洲央行将在 4 月和 6 月再降息两次。摩根大通经济学家格雷格·富泽西表示:“即使美国暂停征收关税,4 月份的降息仍然有意义。”他表示,“6 月的降息可能也不会引起太大争议”,不过之后的路径取决于与美国的贸易谈判如何发展。(金十)

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