智通财经APP获悉，美银证券发布研报称，预期高关税打击全球需求，将导致今年全球石油市场供过于求的规模由每日32万桶增至每日65万桶，相应将今年布伦特原油价格预测下调至年初水平，即每桶65美元，并将2026年预测从每桶73美元下调至70美元。
美银证券认为，中国石油股份(00857)盈利韧性强，预期进口天然气成本将随着油价下降，中石油今年单位利润率可能提升，基于最新油价预测及利润率潜在提升，将其今明两年盈利预测下调11%及8%，目标价从7.2港元下调至6.8港元，评级“买入”。美银证券亦重申对中国石油化工股份(00386)的“买入”评级，今明两年盈利预测下调27%及10%，目标价从5港元下调至4.7港元，预期油价下跌时中石化受到库存损失的拖累更大。
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