【荷兰国际：自由党胜选难改加元平静 若保守党逆袭或引发涨势】金十数据4月24日讯，加拿大将于4月28日举行联邦选举，目前国内正围绕如何应对特朗普的关税政策展开激烈辩论。民意调查和博彩赔率显示，由总理卡尼领导的自由党将以绝对多数赢得选举。荷兰国际银行分析师表示，市场很可能已经将这种情况考虑在内，因此这在短期内对加元的影响可能有限。相反，如果保守党意外获胜，则可能会引发加元的上涨。该行分析师称，我们目前对美元兑加元的预测是以自由党赢得多数席位组成政府作为基本假设的。预计到第二季度末，美元兑加元汇率将交投于1.39，第三季度将面临一些上行压力，然后从第四季度开始出现更为结构性的下跌趋势。
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