【中金:市场在定价“美国的滞胀”以及一个“没那么差的欧元区”】金十数据4月22日讯,中金研报称,美国宣布加征关税之后,出现了股债汇“三杀”的罕见局面。除了交易因素以外,从基本面上来讲,市场在定价“美国的滞胀”以及一个“没那么差的欧元区”。从1971年1月到现在,美国股债汇同时出现明显下跌的月份只有6个,如果4月美股、美债、美元不再大幅变化,2025年的4月将是1971年以来第7个单月美国股债汇都出现明显下跌的月份。一般来说,美股下跌、美债上涨、美元上涨是投资者更适应的资产变化组合。但如果美国面临的是“滞胀”风险,同时其他经济可以凭借“非美国”的力量支撑基本面,那么就有可能出现美国股债汇三杀的局面。
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