【PX低估值弱预期与宏观情绪变化相互博弈】金十期货4月23日讯,PX装置即将进入4月集中检修季, 3月开工环比减弱,市场对供应存在担忧,3月进口量上涨。1. 2025年3月中国PX进口84.66万吨,较上月增加16.11万吨,涨幅23.50%。2025年1-3月累计进口量为224.06万吨,较去年同期减少11.78万吨,跌幅为5.00%。2025年3月中国PX出口0.10吨,较上月上涨0.10吨。2025年1-2月累计出口量为3.70吨,较去年增加1422.22%。3月出口量极少几乎忽略不计。中国是亚洲PTA最大消费国,国内PX仍处供应紧张格局。2. 需求方面本周福建百宏有重启计划,总体来看产量提升。成本方面预计国际油价已经有上涨空间,OPEC+部分产油国或进行超产补偿收缩产量,叠加地缘局势不稳定下供应存趋紧预期,对油价的支撑有所增强,叠加特朗普承认对华关税过高,将大幅降低,宏观情绪有所缓和,中辉期货分析师苏日嘎拉图认为,短期内PX有望迎来低位反弹态势。
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