在美东时间4月22日发布的2025年4月《世界经济展望报告》(WEO)中,鉴于贸易政策的不确定性,国际货币基金组织(IMF)久违地再次给出多种情境假设。第一种是基于截至4月4日公布的关税措施的参考预测(reference forecast)。第二种是基于4月2日对等关税宣布前的预测(截止日期为3月下旬)。第三种是基于4月9日后,特朗普宣布部分关税暂缓和豁免措施后的预测。在最基本的参考预测情境下,...
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