【贵金属短期波动加剧 长期支撑逻辑未改】金十期货4月21日讯,特朗普称“拥有黄金者制定规则”推升黄金避险吸引力,现货黄金早盘突破3350美元/盎司;其关税政策反复性(点名日欧、讨论对华危机处理)加剧市场波动,但暗示1个月内或达成协议或缓和短期紧张。此外,特朗普威胁解雇鲍威尔引发政策政治化担忧,叠加俄乌停火短暂且互信不足,伊美核谈判进展有限,地缘风险溢价仍存。展望后市,贵金属市场短期波动率料将抬升,COMEX黄金或于3250-3400美元/盎司区间震荡,对应沪金或于760-796元/克区间;白银虽受光伏装机旺季托底工业需求,但宏观需求疲软预期及工业金属联动下跌风险或限制其反弹动能。中长期来看,全球央行购金潮延续、美联储政策转向预期升温及地缘风险重心转移三大核心逻辑仍将对贵金属价格构成坚实支撑。
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