金吾财讯 | 中信证券表示，从理财市场一季报来看，2025Q1末理财规模较年初下降0.81万亿元，同比多减0.64万亿元。资产配置方面，一季度理财产品增配同业资产，减配存款和同业存单。展望来看，随着二季度债市修复和银行负债压力减弱，理财规模有望重回景气扩张。银行板块投资方面，由于2025年基准利率相对平稳，预计1季度银行息差走低幅度低于年初预期；因此，尽管大部分银行景气度延续低位运行，但向下超预期概率偏低。从投资角度看，在宏观“审慎”和“走弱”的两种假设情形下，银行板块相对于大部分行业而言，基本面具备相对稳健特征，相对价值显著。个股方面，年初以来部分低估值品种持续修复，短期建议重点关注分红收益稳定乐观的银行，同时前期强势品种估值仍有提升空间；长期建议重点关注市场具备预期差大、且未来三年盈利增长确定性较强的银行。
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