Phillips Edison & Co Inc (PECO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Rent Spreads and ...

GuruFocus.com
26 Apr
  • Same-Center NOI Growth: Increased by 3.9% in the first quarter.
  • Comparable Renewal Rent Spreads: Achieved a record high of 21.7% in the first quarter.
  • Comparable New Leasing Rent Spreads: Reached 28.1% in the first quarter.
  • Portfolio Occupancy: Ended the quarter at 97.1% leased.
  • Anchor Occupancy: Remained strong at 98.4%.
  • In-Line Occupancy: Ended the quarter at 94.6%.
  • NAREIT FFO: Increased to $89 million or $0.64 per diluted share, reflecting an 8.5% year-over-year growth.
  • Core FFO: Increased to $90.8 million or $0.65 per diluted share, reflecting an 8.3% year-over-year growth.
  • Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDAre: 5.3 times as of March 31, 2025.
  • Weighted Average Interest Rate: 4.4% on debt.
  • Weighted Average Debt Maturity: 5.6 years.
  • Liquidity: Approximately $760 million available.
  • 2025 Guidance for NAREIT FFO Per Share: Reflects a 5.7% increase over 2024 at the midpoint.
  • 2025 Guidance for Core FFO Per Share: Represents a 5.1% increase over 2024 at the midpoint.
  • 2025 Same-Center NOI Growth Guidance: 3% to 3.5%.
  • Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with PECO.

Release Date: April 25, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Phillips Edison & Co Inc (NASDAQ:PECO) reported a strong quarter with a 3.9% increase in same-center NOI.
  • High occupancy rates were maintained, with portfolio occupancy at 97.1% and anchor occupancy at 98.4%.
  • The company achieved record high in-line renewal rent spreads of 21.7% and new leasing rent spreads of 28.1%.
  • PECO's focus on necessity-based goods and services, which make up 71% of ABR, provides insulation from potential tariff disruptions.
  • The company has a strong acquisition pipeline and affirmed its guidance for $350 million to $450 million in gross acquisitions for the year.

Negative Points

  • There are concerns about the impact of tariffs and potential economic recession on PECO's operations.
  • The company faces challenges with upcoming swap expirations, which could increase variable rate exposure.
  • Despite strong leasing activity, there is uncertainty in the capital markets that could affect future growth.
  • The economic environment remains volatile, which could impact consumer behavior and retailer demand.
  • PECO's stock is trading at a cap rate that is higher than the cap rates of recent acquisitions, indicating tighter investment spreads.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you provide insights into the seasonality of leasing and how recent months have performed? A: Bob Myers, President, explained that first-quarter occupancy typically sees a slight decline due to seasonality. However, current occupancy remains strong at 97.1%, with in-line occupancy at 94.6%. Leasing activity is robust, with more leases out for signature now than last year. Retailers are eager to grow, and leasing spreads are expected to improve further.

Q: What factors could influence the FFO guidance for the year, and what might drive results to the higher end of the range? A: John Caulfield, CFO, noted that while the first quarter included a non-recurring lease termination fee, the company remains cautiously optimistic. Improvements in capital markets and certainty around debt costs could push results to the higher end. The focus is on long-term growth, with a strong acquisition pipeline supporting this outlook.

Q: How is PECO managing its variable rate exposure, and what are the plans for upcoming swap expirations? A: John Caulfield stated that the company is comfortable with its current 14% variable rate exposure and plans to manage upcoming swap expirations by issuing fixed bonds. The goal is to maintain a laddered maturity structure and a long-term target of 90% fixed-rate debt.

Q: Are there any signs of slowing rent payments from retailers, and how is bad debt trending? A: John Caulfield reported no significant changes in rent payment trends, with bad debt actually lower than a year ago. The company continues to monitor retailer health closely, but no regional or category-specific issues have been noted.

Q: How does PECO view the potential impact of a recession on its portfolio, and what categories might be affected first? A: Jeffrey Edison, CEO, explained that while PECO is not anticipating a recession, the company is prepared for potential impacts. Historically, discretionary spending is affected first, with consumers trading down in products and eating at home more. However, necessity-based retail, like grocery, tends to perform well during downturns.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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