华侨银行经济学家在一份报告中指出,泰国央行或于周三(政策会议)维持政策利率在2.00%不变。
分析称,泰国第一季度GDP增长可能保持韧性;此外,对美出口进一步提前或支撑第二季度增长。
该机构补充称,财政政策更趋主动的取向也降低了货币政策立即提供支持的必要性。
报告提到,泰国政府已表示,若经济增长面临重大下行风险,将随时加大财政支持力度。
不过,华侨银行认为未来数月货币政策存在进一步宽松空间,并预计2024年下半年累计降息50个基点。
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