【比特币与黄金的相关性反弹,回归历史周期模式】比特币与黄金的30天皮尔逊相关性在2025年4月由2月的-0.67反弹至0.54,接近年度最高值0.73。2月,比特币价格从102,000美元跌至84,000美元,而黄金价格上涨至2,850美元,导致两者相关性急剧下降。此后,由于美国对多国征收关税,引发了宏观经济不确定性,比特币与黄金的相关性迅速回升。比特币被重新认定为“数字黄金”,在特朗普宣布“解放日”后,BTC价格上涨超过10%,黄金也上涨了5%。历史数据显示,比特币与黄金的相关性多次在低谷后迅速回升,通常会再次接近0.8以上。
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