中金:维持中国财险(02328)“跑赢行业”评级 目标价升至15.5港元

智通财经
Yesterday

智通财经APP获悉,中金发布研报称,考虑到中国财险(02328)此前提质增效等措施效果显现,上调公司25e/26e EPS 9.1%/9.5%至1.56元/1.61元/股,维持跑赢行业评级,上调目标价5%至15.5港元。中国财险披露了1Q25业绩:财险综合成本率(CoR)同比大幅改善3.4ppt至94.5%,净利润同比+92.7%至113亿元,符合该行预期,此前已有盈利预喜。

中金主要观点如下:

保费收入稳步增长

1Q25中国财险整体/车险/非车险原保险保费收入分别同比+3.7%/+3.5% /+3.8%,保险服务收入方面,1Q25中国财险实现保险服务收入1207亿元,同比+6.1%,其中车险同比+2.8%至743亿元,非车险同比+11.7%至464亿元。

承保盈利大幅改善

1Q25中国财险综合成本率(CoR)同比大幅改善3.4ppt至94.5%,承保盈利同比+183%至67亿元,该行预计大幅改善主要来自于公司此前降本增效措施效果显现、车险经营优势进一步强化、市场竞争改善以及去年同期受大灾影响的盈利低基数。

投资表现稳健

1Q25中国财险实现总投资收益75亿元,同比增加27亿元,未年化总投资收益率同比+0.4ppt至1.2%,在同业中表现相对亮眼。

盈利稳中向好趋势进一步强化,重申公司为长期稳健配置之选

1Q25公司净利润同比+92.7%至113亿元,符合该行预期,此前已有盈利预喜。该行认为财报展现出公司盈利稳中向好的趋势进一步强化,重申公司为长期稳健配置之选。

风险

自然灾害;车险市场竞争加剧;资本市场大幅波动。

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