【欧洲央行官员：美关税或引发欧元区反通胀效应 美国主导或转变为多极化体系】金十数据4月29日讯，欧洲央行执委奇波洛内表示，美国的贸易措施可能会在短期内拖累欧元区通胀，因为它们会拖累全球的经济扩张。奇波洛内周二说：“中短期的影响可能会导致欧元区通胀率下降，因为在美国宣布征收关税后，欧元区的实际利率已经上升，欧元已经升值。”“贸易措施可能通过将资源从高生产率部门转移到低生产率部门，造成与20世纪相同的低效率，这种收缩效应可能导致全球增长率持续走低。”自特朗普宣布关税以来，欧元走强可能是决策者们最大的意外。他们原本预计欧元会贬值，从而提高进口成本，叠加欧盟反制措施可能推升通胀。奇波洛内说：“欧元区受益于避险资金流入，欧元升值的同时名义债券收益率下降。”他还提出了一种可能性，即贸易分化可能导致“从美国主导的全球体系逐步过渡到更加多极化的体系，即多种货币竞争储备地位”。
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