LXP Industrial Trust (LXP) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong NOI Growth and Strategic ...

GuruFocus.com
02 May
  • Adjusted Company FFO: $0.16 per diluted common share, approximately $46 million.
  • Same Store NOI Growth: 5.2% during the quarter.
  • Same Store Portfolio Leased: 99.2% at quarter end.
  • 2025 Same Store NOI Growth Guidance: 3% to 4%.
  • 2025 Adjusted Company FFO Guidance: $0.61 to $0.65 per diluted common share.
  • General and Administrative Expenses (GNA) Guidance: $39 million to $41 million for 2025.
  • Leased Space: Approximately 1.1 million square feet during the quarter.
  • Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA: 5.9 times at quarter end.
  • Cash on Balance Sheet: $71 million at quarter end, $110 million pro forma for property sale proceeds.
  • Tenant Base Credit Quality: 47% of ABR from tenants with investment-grade rated parent companies.
  • Warning! GuruFocus has detected 7 Warning Signs with LXP.

Release Date: May 01, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • LXP Industrial Trust (NYSE:LXP) reported solid same-store NOI growth of 5.2% in the first quarter, with a 99.2% leased same-store portfolio.
  • The company achieved favorable leasing outcomes, including a 59% cash rental increase on a five-year renewal in Phoenix and a 63% increase on a three-year extension with Mars in Atlanta.
  • LXP's portfolio consists of 91% Class A industrial facilities, which are expected to outperform in a market where quality matters.
  • The company's investment strategy focuses on 12 target markets in the Sun Belt and Lower Midwest, which benefit from favorable demographics and significant onshoring investments.
  • LXP maintains a strong cash position, with $71 million on the balance sheet at quarter-end, and $110 million pro forma for recent property sales.

Negative Points

  • There is a slower cadence in leasing transactions due to limited 2025 lease roll and longer decision-making times by tenants.
  • LXP anticipates lower tenant retention in 2025 compared to 2024, with in-place rents on remaining 2025 lease expirations 30% to 35% below market.
  • The current market environment, particularly trade policy, has created uncertainty for tenants making space use decisions.
  • The company has paused disposition activity due to a 90-day pause around tariff policy, impacting its ability to recycle capital.
  • LXP's net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 5.9 times at quarter-end, indicating a focus on reducing leverage over time.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you identify any known move-outs as we look out to the next few years, especially with the lease expirations in 2026 and 2027? A: It's too early to tell for 2026 and 2027, but we like our tenant base and expect successful renewals. For 2025, we are excited about marking properties to market, which should drive rent growth regardless of tenant retention outcomes. - James Dudley, Executive Vice President, Director - Asset Management

Q: What do yields and rents look like for the three large boxes? Has there been any market change? A: We haven't seen significant changes in market rents, though tenant improvement costs have increased slightly. We're maintaining our prior guidance for stabilization yields around 6%. - James Dudley, Executive Vice President, Director - Asset Management and Brendan Mullinix, Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer

Q: Are there any plans for further dispositions this year? A: Not at the moment. We've paused disposition activity due to the current tariff policy uncertainty, but we have a strategic objective to concentrate on our 12 target markets. - T. Wilson Eglin, Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer

Q: Is the redevelopment announced today a change in strategy, and how will it impact guidance? A: The redevelopment was always part of the plan and is excluded from our same-store NOI growth guidance. The project is expected to yield a mid-10s return on capital investment. - James Dudley, Executive Vice President, Director - Asset Management and Nathan Brunner, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer

Q: Are there any markets where you're particularly excited about leasing spreads? A: We are optimistic about the Sun Belt markets, especially Phoenix and Dallas, where we expect significant mark-to-market opportunities. - James Dudley, Executive Vice President, Director - Asset Management

Q: How are tariffs affecting tenant behavior and demand? A: Tenants are responding differently; some continue with their plans, others accelerate demand, and some pause to reassess. Solar panels are one area seeing increased demand. - James Dudley, Executive Vice President, Director - Asset Management

Q: What is the status of the two big lease expirations with Nissan in 2027? A: Nissan's US market is critical, and they have reaffirmed their commitment to US plants. Our facilities are integral to their operations, and we expect a high probability of renewal. - Nathan Brunner, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer and James Dudley, Executive Vice President, Director - Asset Management

Q: Are large e-commerce players like Amazon showing interest in your developments? A: Yes, we've seen increased activity from major e-commerce players and retailers, which could benefit our recent developments. - James Dudley, Executive Vice President, Director - Asset Management

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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