华泰证券: 苹果(AAPL.US)Q2关税影响小于预期 但可持续性存疑

智通财经
03 May

智通财经APP获悉,在隔夜召开的财报电话会上,苹果(APPL.US)CEO蒂姆·库克指出4-6月季度,关税影响9亿美金(3.6%净利润),大部分销售美国的产品会从印度和越南出货,进展快于预期,但拒绝评论7-9月的影响。华泰证券科技分析师认为,考虑到印度仍然缺乏首发量产能力,如果现在的关税持续,预计9月发布的iphone 17仍然初期任然需要从中国发货,因此对7-9月的影响会几倍于9亿美金。

库克预估,关税将导致公司第三财季(4-6月)将额外增加9亿美元,约合65.4亿元人民币的成本。但拒绝透露是否会涨价,或者是否把成本转嫁给消费者。华泰证券认为,可以从以下四个方面关注投资机会:

一,买入印度相关产业链,享受结构性收益,如Dixon(当前市盈率约70倍)。二,买入股价大幅回调,但短期很难被替代的国内产业链,如瑞声科技。三,买入A股上市的台资企业,如工业富联。四, 关注工银和宏利印度ETF、贝莱德India ETF等相关基金。

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