智通财经APP获悉，在4月29日创阶段性新低后，4月30日，尿素期货强势反转，主力UR2509合约大幅高开并冲高，最终收报1857元/吨，单日涨幅达6.24%，远超市场预期。
采访中，记者了解到，尿素期货大涨既有季节性需求预期的支撑，也包含市场情绪的短期放大效应。
在业内人士看来，尿素盘面的主要驱动除了出口政策松动的市场预期外，也与夏季肥备货的提前兑现有关。
融达期货分析师彭杰斌告诉记者，当前尿素市场的焦点在于高供应与高库存压制价格，但夏季农业需求旺季及工业需求提供一定支撑。
“从基本面来看，当前尿素市场的焦点仍在于需求方面。”齐盛期货分析师蔡英超认为，复合肥需求逐步触顶回落，但是夏季农业直施需求尚未启动，后期农业需求的启动仍是影响行情的重要因素。
山西证券发布研报称，春耕备肥需求启动拉动化肥市场，建议关注尿素与钾肥市场。
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