高盛研报称,将对日本央行下次加息的时间预测推迟了六个月。高盛经济学家指出,尽管日本央行维持预计政策利率将逐步上升的立场,但该央行也已经推迟了其对基础通胀达到2%的时间展望,理由是围绕贸易政策存在高度不确定性。因此,高盛把自己对日本央行下次加息的时间预测从2025年7月推迟至2026年1月。“话虽如此,加息时机高度依赖于美国关税政策和海外经济趋势,尤其是美国经济趋势,而且在当前关头不确定性仍然很高,”高盛称。
责任编辑:王永生
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