【券商聚焦】华泰证券料白酒行业估值有望稳步回归

金吾财讯
06 May

金吾财讯 | 华泰证券研报指,白酒行业营收降速释放压力,高端显韧性,细分板块分化显着。25年下半年行业或进入良性修复期,该行认为名优酒企表现仍将快于行业,行业估值有望稳步回归。该行指,从24年和25Q1表现综合看,行业整体呈现出1)酒企营收主动降速纾压、2)竞争加剧分化延续、3)龙头主动纾困,治理更加市场化和精细化的特点。展望25年,预计上半年行业仍以压力纾困为主,随政策托底、外部需求稳步复苏,板块基本面也将逐步优化,消费复苏期待更强支撑,下半年行业将进入良性修复阶段。同时,当前白酒板块估值处于历史低位(截至2025.4.30,板块PE-TTM位于近10年13%分位数),估值性价比凸显。长期看,集中度提升、龙头治理更趋精细化、企业对分红回报或更加重视,该行预计名优酒企仍将享受超越行业的成长速度。

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