宏观情绪尚待企稳 大宗商品继续承压

金十财经
06 May

【宏观情绪尚待企稳 大宗商品继续承压】金十期货5月6日讯,国际方面,美国4月非农就业人数增长17.7万,好于预期;美国4月失业率保持在4.2%不变。国内方面,4月制造业PMI较上月下降1.5个百分点,回落至49.0%。中辉期货分析师吴明近认为,综合来看,外部数据影响不一、国内PMI数据走弱的情况下,期市今天整体承压、跌多涨少。在宏观不确定性偏强的情况下,操作上维持节前建议,短期投资以风控管理为主,宜静不宜动。1、原油:消息面上,欧佩克+原计划是从4月开始在18个月内逐步且稳定地解除减产,但现在的决策将在短短三个月内就回补近一半的减产幅度(220万桶/日)。另外,八个参与国将在6月增产41.1万桶/日连续第二个月加快增产步伐。特朗普一直强调“低油价”,对此欧佩克+也比较配合,原油后续仍然是整体承压偏弱运行为主,激进抄底油化工尚需谨慎再谨慎。2、白糖:由于今年前几个月进口糖和进口糖浆等数量大幅下降,巴西港口排船慢导致食糖到港时间延迟,白糖价格短期呈现“外弱内强”格局,09合约在5750---5800支撑之上、逢回调短多或更为稳健。

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