【2025年印尼GDP增长可能放缓,为货币宽松打开大门】金十数据5月5日讯,新加坡华侨银行经济学家Lavanya Venkateswaran和Ahmad A. Enver在一份报告中说,随着投资和消费疲软,印尼未来几个季度的GDP增速可能进一步放缓,2025年的平均增速为4.7%,低于2024年的5.0%。他们指出,增长势头放缓可能会为货币宽松打开大门,尤其是印尼央行4月份会议以来,印尼盾兑美元已升值2.7%。如果印尼盾在未来几周保持强势,他们认为央行可能在5月份的会议上降息25个基点,并预测印尼的政策利率将在2025年底达到5.25%。与此同时,他们说,与美国的贸易谈判正在取得进展,当地的政治噪音有所缓解,不过市场情绪的恢复仍然有限。
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