【高盛警告：美国通胀率可能在圣诞节前达到近4%】金十数据5月8日讯，高盛警告称，特朗普的全球贸易战可能会使抗通胀之战取得的大部分进展付之东流。这家华尔街银行在周三的一份报告中告诉客户，由于高额关税和美元走软的有害组合，关键通胀指标预计将在未来几个月飙升。高盛目前预计，核心通胀年率（不包括食品和能源）将从3月份的2.6%加速至12月份的3.8%。这是根据美联储青睐的PCE价格指数得出的。高盛认为，物价的上升力度要比美联储3月份的预测大得多，当时美国还没有宣布最大规模的关税。美联储预计12月份核心PCE通胀率为2.8%。更糟糕的是，高盛预计核心商品通胀年率将从3月份的0.4%飙升至12月份的6.3%。到12月，二手车（+8.3%）、家用电器（+7.8%）、视频/音频/电脑（+7.7%）、珠宝/手表（+5.9%）和制药/医疗（+7.8%）的价格将大幅上涨。
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