智通财经APP获悉,交银国际发布研报称,受海外不确定性因素影响,目前大部分公司估值低于2024年的平均水平。该行看好业绩稳定及AI加持带动估值提升机会的公司,如阿里巴巴-W(09988)、腾讯控股(00700)、网易-S(09999)、携程集团-S(09961)及美团-W(03690)。
本月中概及互联网公司将陆续公布首季业绩,因电商受惠于国家补贴扩大带动需求,该行预计其行业商品成交总额(GMV)增速同比增6%,当中阿里巴巴料增速6%、京东集团-SW(09618)增速10%、拼多多增速13%及快手-W(01024)增速15%。
网上旅游平台如携程集团及同程旅行(00780)业绩增长符合预期,收入增速料分别达17%及12%。外卖行业因京东即时零售的进入或带来短期补贴波动,京东业绩将在第二季有所体现。该行预计外卖行业格局将维持稳定,美团首季收入增速达16%。
游戏方面,1-4月手游流水基本符合预期,腾讯长青游戏表现稳定,该行建议关注5月22日公测的新游戏-《胜利女神:新的希望》。文娱行业中,爱奇艺长剧供给呈复苏趋势,建议关注其短剧的商业化贡献及加大投入对利润的拖累。
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