【分析师：亚洲货币剧烈波动成金价反弹主要推手】金十数据5月6日讯，分析师Giuseppe Dellamotta表示，黄金短短数日收复上周跌幅，但催化因素尚不明确。最合理的解释是部分亚洲货币近期剧烈波动，这既能解释黄金反弹的时机，也符合避险逻辑。不过，随着相关当局开始干预汇市，避险需求可能逐步缓解。周四凌晨的美联储FOMC决议或成黄金多头面临的风险。鉴于市场已激进押注鸽派转向，美联储很可能反向释放鹰派信号以纠正市场预期。从中长期来看，黄金上行趋势未改，在美联储宽松周期下，实际收益率预计持续走低。但短期风险不容忽视：若贸易摩擦出现积极进展或美联储立场偏鹰，黄金可能因市场重新定价而进一步回调。
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