5月6日消息,港股航空股盘初拉升,截至发稿,中国东方航空股份涨超8%,中国国航、中国南方航空股份涨超7%,北京首都机场股份涨超4%。
消息面上,中信证券研报指出,2025年“五一”假期出游需求旺盛,国家文旅部预计国内旅游人次有望突破3.5亿,同比增长15%以上,据交通运输部统计,假期前3天跨区域流动人员人次同比增长4.9%,其中民航/铁路同比增长12.5%/10.5%,均超过节前预期,表现亮眼。
假期航空利用率升至历史高位,5月1日窄体机利用率较2019年提升0.7h,受益于供给受限以及航司收益策略优化,料价格端更加稳健,该行预计假期平均全票价同比跌幅或5%以内。同时在免签政策刺激下,跨境游“双向升温”。
假期前3天国际航班量恢复率升至91%(较清明假期恢复率+2.1pcts),民航暑运表现可期。波音交付扰动对供给增加形成进一步限制,该行预计2025年机队净增速或降至1%~2%,叠加油价下行预期对航司业绩形成有力支撑。期待顺周期、促消费政策传导至航空需求端。
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