在油价在最新一轮跌势中跌破每桶60美元、促使页岩油生产商开始制定收缩计划之前，美国就已下调了对今年国内原油产量的预测。

　　美国能源信息管理局（EIA）周二发布的《短期能源展望》显示，2025年，美国原油日产量预计在1342万桶，较上月预测值减少约10万桶。该预测并未计入最新的美国关税水平，也未计入OPEC及其盟友上周末同意的增产。

　　随着美国总统唐纳德·特朗普发动的贸易战升级，以及OPEC+增产导致油价暴跌，对美国原油产量的预期可能还将进一步下调。多家大型美国页岩油生产商正计划削减钻机数量，Diamondback Energy Inc．本周表示，美国页岩油产量可能已经见顶。EIA预计明年美国原油日产量为1349万桶，较此前预测下降7万桶。

　　EIA表示，今年全球原油日均需求预计将增至1.037亿桶，较之前的预测高出10万桶。

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