【中信证券:银行板块业绩底部修复 投资兼具相对收益和绝对价值】金十数据5月6日讯,中信证券研报称,一季度银行板块景气度低位运行,存量按揭贷款利率调整、LPR重定价在一季度集中体现,拉低银行息差表现,债市波动对银行非息收入产生影响,银行板块一季度营收和利润负增长。由于一季度LPR调降频率和幅度大幅低于预期;存款重定价对息差的正向作用开始体现;债市波动下降,银行策略调整到位,后续季度收入和利润增速有望逐步修复。由于一季度大行盈利负增长的“指引效应”,预计大行全年营收和业绩仍有较大概率为负、全行业盈利整体在极低个位数。从板块投资来看,银行受中美贸易的影响幅度将显著弱于其他行业,全年相对价值逻辑成立;绝对收益逻辑仍来自于银行系统性风险再评估带来的估值修复驱动,以及人民币大类资产配置框架下的稳定权益回报特征驱动。
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