“美联储传声筒”:担心通胀失控,美联储可能会暂缓降息

Blockbeats
06 May

BlockBeats 消息,5 月 6 日,在美联储本周四公布利率决议前夕,有“新美联储通讯社”之称的知名财经记者 Nick Timiraos 发表最新报道,剖析美联储在应对特朗普政府“草率”关税政策时所面临的两难境地,暗示美联储可能会暂缓降息。

文章暗示,美联储将密切关注劳动力市场的变化,将就业数据作为其决策的重要参考:“美联储不会因为预计经济放缓而提前降息,他们需要看到实际数据,尤其是在劳动力市场。”关税可能会迫使美联储“走上后一条道路”。因为关税可能会在短期内推高物价,其不确定性也会减缓经济活动,带来滞胀的苗头,这可能使美联储暂缓降息。

如果通胀预期失控,那么控制通胀将变得更加困难。文章进一步指出,与五年前相比,前美联储理事 Brainard 提到的“限制因素”已经恶化,因为经济最近经历了一段非常高通胀的时期。即使美联储内部可能考虑降息,美联储仍需在公开场合保持对通胀的警惕,以稳定市场预期。

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