高盛发布研报称,澳博控股(00880)首季业绩大致符合预期,整体EBITDA环比下跌3%至9.58亿元,而市场预测为9.45亿至10.6亿元。集团指出,旗下澳门新葡京酒店维持正常3.2%的胜率,其EBITDA将增加约6000万元。虽然濠股行业趋势低迷,澳博管理层仍乐观地认为,随着上葡京进一步扩张,其赌收将继续领先市场。该行下调集团2025至27财年的EBITDA预测5%,目标价由3.2港元降至3港元。
该行表示,今年首季澳博的赌收市占率整体维持13.5%,澳门新葡京酒店的赌收市占率为3.2%,环比减少0.3个百分点,但上葡京的赌收市占率增加0.1个百分点至2.8%,卫星赌场升0.1个百分点至5.1%,而其他自营赌场的则稳定在2.4%。
报告提到,随着同行新濠国际发展(00200)最近宣布供股,加上中美关系紧张令宏观不确定因素上升,或会引起投资者对澳博的高财务杠杆及集团较易受赌收放缓影响的忧虑。
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