法国外贸银行亚太区高级经济学家吴卓殷认为，美联储面对两难局面，因为物价可能未必容易回落，但如果失业率上升，美联储或要降息，以平衡两大政策目标。他预料，通胀走势不明确，即使未来数个月通胀缓和，长期通胀亦难以下降，通胀或难以重返以往较低水平。
他相信，美联储会等到关税影响反映后、所有经济数据较明确，才会降息。他预期，最快9月重新降息，全年至少降息两次，会否减更多次，取决于经济数据是否急速转差。他提到，考虑到息差因素，若美联储政策立场及市场预期都没有大改变的话，预料美元指数短期企稳100水平。但随着美联储第3季开始降息，甚至经济数据转差，美元指数或会转弱。
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