摩根资管:美国维持利率不变符合预期 6月降息的可能性较低

格隆汇
08 May

美联储一如预期,全票通过维持政策利率不变。摩根资产管理亚太区首席市场策略师许长泰表示,虽然美联储主席鲍威尔认为,关税所带来的通胀影响可能属于一次性的性质,但亦不排除其持续性较高的可能性。而最近的就业数据势头稳固,令美联储得以维持现有立场。许长泰提到,在美联储下一次会议之前,预计只有一组就业数据公布,因此6月降息的可能性较低。市场对降息预期亦已调整,目前预测6月降息的机率为25%,低于会议前的31%,而7月降息25个基点的机率为80%,并预计今年余下时间将再减息3次。

对于美国国债而言,投资者可能会专注于潜在的债券收益率下降及相应的债券价格上涨。虽然美国总统特朗普的政策为市场带来挑战,但标普500指数自4月初急挫后显著反弹。美国科技股的长期机会仍获认同,考虑到美元兑亚洲货币的压力,环球分散投资仍然审慎。

#美联储

责任编辑:磐石

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