机构:预计英国央行年内还将再降息75个基点

Blockbeats
08 May

BlockBeats 消息,5 月 8 日,潘森宏观首席英国经济学家 Robert Wood 表示,下调对 2025 年和 2026 年的英国经济增长预测,现在预计该国 GDP 将在 2025 年和 2026 年分别增长 0.9% 和 1%,低于之前的 1.1% 和 1.5%。

尽管 3 月份通胀率已降至 2.6%,但预计未来几个月通胀率将大幅回升,第二季度可能达到 3.4%,到年底仅会降至 3.3%。

自上次预测评估以来的大部分数据通常会使 MPC 保持绝对谨慎的立场。但美国总统特朗普的关税已经颠覆了全球经济,扰乱了金融市场。在这种背景下,潘森宏观预计英国央行今年还会有三次 25 个基点的降息,包括 5 月和 6 月的连续降息,以及在 11 月的最后一次降息。(金十)

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