美联储今年或维持利率不变 市场降息预期遇分歧

环球市场播报
12 May

  梅茨勒资产管理公司首席经济学家埃德加·沃克表示,尽管市场普遍预期美联储今年将降息,但其可能选择全年按兵不动。

  “我的预期是美联储今年不会降息,但考虑到不确定性,一两次降息是合理的。”他补充道。

  沃克指出,尽管美国劳动力市场保持韧性,但核心通胀率或将在年底前升至4%。与此同时,梅茨勒仍预计欧洲央行今年将降息三次,“但两到三次降息是更现实的结果”。

  根据伦敦证交所集团(LSEG)数据,货币市场当前预计欧洲央行今年还将降息两次,将存款利率调降至1.75%。而针对美联储,市场仅计入略超两次的降息预期。

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责任编辑:王许宁

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