转自：新华财经
新华财经北京5月9日电 中金公司研报表示，当前白酒板块面临一定的需求缺口，未来白酒行业走出周期底部离不开需求支撑。中金公司研报认为，当前白酒需求景气度已处历史底部（过去五年景气度分位数为28%），向下风险或有限。政策较宽松为消费回暖提供基础，1—3月份经济数据已有表现，预计更多托底政策出台将助力白酒需求稳步筑底回升。
未来，白酒需求或以较慢斜率小幅回升，从消费场景看，短期大众需求偏刚性，且同期低基数下，宴席需求或有所表现；中期维度下，政策有望刺激高端白酒需求企稳。全年白酒板块业绩在去年三四季度低基数支撑下或呈先抑后扬走势。
责任编辑：王翔
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