【机构：美联储将淡化关税带来的暂时性通胀影响】金十数据5月9日讯，瑞典北欧斯安银行指出，在风险上升的同时，美联储正在等待更多的明确性。贸易政策和经济前景都被视为极其不确定，美联储希望等待更明确的结果。市场将这一信息解读为略微鹰派，并进一步降低了6月会议上降息的可能性。我们认同市场的这一变化，但预计美联储最终将把重点放在支持经济增长上，并忽略通胀的暂时上升。如果长期通胀预期保持在可控范围内，并与通胀目标保持一致，美联储应该能够忽略关税造成的暂时性通胀冲击。还有一种可能性是，关税不确定性对经济的短期影响将超过当前预期。但就目前而言，美联储认为此举对经济的影响有限，贸易谈判也有一些进展的迹象。通胀仍然高于目标，而且由于关税的原因，预计将再次开始上升。
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