【经贸传出重大进展，关注避险资金流出情况】金十期货特约光大期货点评：上周，COMEX黄金价格上涨2.52%至3329.10美元/盎司，沪金主连上涨0.77%至788.42元/克。1. 关税方面，中美双方在瑞士经贸会谈传出重大进展，双方一致同意建立中美经贸磋商机制，明确双方牵头人，就各自关切的经贸问题开展进一步的磋商，并将于5月12日发布会谈达成的联合声明。2. 降息方面，美联储哈玛克表示宽泛的资产负债表政策不在美联储框架审查的范围之内。最新CME“美联储观察”数据显示，6月维持利率不变的概率为82.7%，降息25个基点的概率为17.3%，到7月维持利率不变的概率为40.8%，累计降息25个基点的概率为50.7%，累计降息50个基点的概率为8.7%。3. 综合而言，国际贸易形势有所好转，短期贵金属避险资金或有流出。
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