金吾财讯 | 国信证券研报指,药明合联(02268)2024年实现主营业务收入40.52亿元(+90.8%),归母净利润10.70亿元(+277.2%),Non-IFRS经调整净利润11.74亿元(+184.8%)。2024年公司毛利率30.6%(+4.3pp),净利率26.4%(+13.3pp),盈利能力大幅提升。下半年增长提速,印证ADC CDMO行业高景气度。该行提到,截至2024年末,公司积极推动全球基地布局,产能扩展成效显着。1)无锡基地采用双功能(XmAb/XBCM)设计的第二条生产线于2024年11月投入运营;2)上海药物发现实验室扩建,常州连接子/有效载荷产能达150L/批,全链条“一站式”优势巩固;3)XmAb/XBCM生产线预计2025年底投入运营,XPD4预计2026年中投入运营,未来将强化欧美市场服务能力。该行指,公司业绩、订单强势增长,维持“优于大市”评级。产能快速扩张,项目拓展提速,考虑到公司充足的在手订单,上调2025-2026年盈利预测、新增2027年盈利预测,预计2025/2026/2027年公司归母净利润为13.97/19.15/26.02亿元(2025/2026年原值10.15/13.17亿元),同比增速+30.6%/37.1%/35.9%。
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