【美联储重启降息预期推后 警惕海外资产高波动风险】在券商人士看来,美国强劲的就业数据与疲弱的消费者信心等相互矛盾的经济信号使美联储决策者的工作变得尤为棘手,美国经济存在滞胀风险或是令美联储连续按兵不动的重要原因。美联储5月利率决议公布后,已有机构将美联储重启降息的时间预期从6月推迟至7月,观望等待成为美联储当前的政策主基调。“往后看,在国际贸易形势和美国经济形势明朗之前,唯一确定的就是不确定性。”国盛证券首席经济学家熊园提醒,海外市场对国际贸易形势的相关消息以及美国各项经济数据的敏感性将上升,需警惕海外资产价格波动可能明显放大的情况。
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