金吾财讯 | 美联储理事阿德里安娜·库格勒周一表示,鉴于贸易政策的快速变化以及今年早些时候抢购进口商品对家庭和企业的影响,美国央行官员很难判断经济的潜在实力。在美国和中国谈判代表同意暂停各自国家最严厉的关税 90 天后的一天,库格勒表示,这种情况使美联储无法判断未来的经济增长和通胀情况。进口税上调可能造成价格上涨和经济增长放缓,但由于特朗普政府仍在与各国进行谈判,且一系列关税措施仍处于暂停状态,因此影响程度和持续时间仍不确定。库格勒在为爱尔兰央行一场活动准备的演讲稿中表示,“目前很难判断美国经济的潜在增长速度,贸易政策正在改变,而且很可能还会继续变化,甚至就在今天上午。即便关税保持在接近目前宣布的水平,这些政策似乎也可能产生重大的经济效应,而与这些关税相关的不确定性已经通过前期投入、市场情绪和预期对经济产生了影响。”
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