智通财经APP获悉,大摩重申迪士尼(DIS.US)“增持”评级,并将目标价从110美元上调至120美元 。由于主题公园与流媒体业务超预期扩张,迪士尼2025 财年第二财季业绩超出华尔街预期,并宣布上调全年展望。
该行认为,迪士尼在 2025 财年第二季度的业绩表现超出预期,收入同比增长 7%,且较预期高出 200 个基点,这主要得益于国内主题乐园和 ESPN 的强劲表现,同时 Disney+ 增加了订阅用户数量,并预计将继续增长。
大摩指出,迪士尼上调2025财年调整后每股收益指引至+16%(原为高个位数%),股价单日上涨10%,但当前估值仍未充分反映宏观风险。
主题公园与流媒体业务逆市增长
业绩显示流媒体服务Disney+订阅用户数逆势增长,受益于《雷神4》《安多》等优质IP内容;此外ESPN黄金时段观众数创历史新高,广告收入激增。
ESPN流媒体服务将于下周公布定价(测试显示25美元/月,价格颇具吸引力),大摩预计2026财年贡献有限但长期潜力显著。
此前旅游专家警告称,由于特朗普总统的关税,国际游客数量减少,客流量可能减少。但迪士尼美国本土公园收入增长9%,人均消费提升5%,游客量增长2%。奥兰多华特迪士尼世界酒店预订强劲,6月季度完成80%预订量(同比增长4%),9月季度预订进度达50-60%(同比增长7%)。尽管面临奥兰多"史诗宇宙"新乐园竞争,迪士尼预订趋势仍显韧性。
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